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F Tale
Consultant in Economic &
Political Affairs |
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In recent years, the global
trade in goods and services
has expanded much faster than
the expansion of the sum of the
economies of all the countries
of the world put together and
the trend still continues, there
being no sign of slow down.
The reason is the
rapid integration
of the economies
of individual
counties in an
international, global
system. Included in
this integration are foreign
investment, movement of
short-term portfolio funds and
technological diffusions. With
the exception of movement of
short-term portfolio funds, which,
in smaller economies, can in
time create disturbing financial
crises, the other aspects of
globalization, have positive
effects on the functioning of
advanced industrial economies
as well as on developing nations.
In the case of the second
group, the effect of globalization
in some countries has been
profound notably in China and
more recently India.
The dynamism inherent in the
functioning of the economies
built on the free market model,
pushes the producers of goods
and services to look for cheaper
goods and more reliable sources
of supply, wherever they may be,
in order to expand and satisfy
the ever evolving preferences
of consumers in their own
countries and in other markets
that they serve. Such a force has
expanded the horizon for the
economic activity from a local
scale to a countrywide scale
and now to the worldwide. The
advancement of technology,
and specifically information
technology, which offers instant
communication with increasing velocity, makes possible such
achievements in the control
and management of activities
in distant lands.
Consumers all
over the world have access to
a much wider range of products
and services with affordable
prices in comparison with a
few years ago. For developed
countries the expansion of
choice is by no means the only
blessing. By keeping the prices
in check, those economies have
been better equipped to combat
inflation. The more or less stable
prices, in turn, caused interest
rates to be lower than otherwise
would have been. Lower interest
rates are conducive to higher
investments and hence lower
potential rate of unemployment
which is becoming to be a
main economic concern all
over the world. The advance
in technology translates into
higher labor productivity. Higher
labor productivity, if not checked
through higher investment,
has a tendency to raise
unemployment. Lower interest
rates, in turn, invite both short
and long-term investments.
Globalization has been
a blessing to developing
countries, which choose trade
and outward expansion as
means of economic growth
instead of expanding imports
and protectionist policies. The
second half of the 20th century
has shown that countries
that have had the courage
to open their economies to
more rigorous competition,
including competition from
foreign sources, have had
fewer encounters with
obstacles to growth, such as
rise of monopolies, investment
restrictions, price rigidity and
so forth. Since their industry
has to compete in the much
larger international arena,
instead of just local ones, the
export-oriented sectors have
achieved the necessary size
and sophistication to enable
them enjoy the economies of
scale. Due to foreign investment,
these economies have enjoyed
higher rates of employment than
otherwise possible. With the
passage of time as they obtain
a higher level of education
and labor productivity, the
industries that are active in the
export sector move to more
sophisticated products. Such a
process, has a positive effect on
pushing the mode of production
in other industries to higher
levels. At the same time, due to
the lower tariff rate and a more
open market, their consumers
enjoy more affordable prices
and a larger variety. A higher
purchasing power resulting from
lower prices diminishes social
tensions. It should be noted
that tariffs have their effects
on lower income groups, since
they consume a higher portion
of their income in comparison to
high-income groups.
Removal
of tariffs has an egalitarian
effect on society and increases
consumption, investment,
employment and thus income.
At the present time, no country
illustrates the benefits of
globalization more than China.
A country of 1.3 billion people,
that only 25 years ago was
plagued with profound poverty, social tension and chaos, now
has a vibrant, outward looking
economy as a result of reforms.
Famine, which was a part of
life in China, has been virtually
wiped out. China has been
able to attract $ 500 billion in
foreign direct investment. Its
exports during 1990-2003 has
been increased eightfold to
$ 380 billion and its imports
amount to 370 billions. The
foreign currency earned from
exports enabled China to have
such high imports. The imports
of consumer goods made
the Chinese life much more
pleasant.
The total import included capital
goods, and technology that
China requires. All of this means
that China will have a higher
capital base, better education
and larger integration into the
world economy which, in turn,
means that in future China will
be an even more formidable
player in the global arena.
India, another country with a
population of more than one
billion, is also opening to the
world economy. Although the
Indian economy implemented
its reforms somewhat later than
China and with less vigor, the
positive results can already
be seen. Indian economy is
showing robust as well as high
rates of growth. India is fast
assuming the leading role of
providing workforce for high-tech
service industries worldwide.
An ever increasing volume of
software is moving to India and
foreign firms are opening shops
locally. Technical support for
many industries in the West is
being provided by Indians right
from their own homeland. As
an example, technical support
provided by phone to customers
in the US by such leading firms
as Microsoft is handled form
India. Search for lost luggage
in airports around the Western
countries are again managed
from the India soil. Indian
software engineers working
in other countries, send their
excess incomes back home.
India is also opening to the
outside world in all other areas
of economic activity.
Globalization is well and alive
and the future looks promising.
Day by day new players try
to get in the bandwagon in
order to improve the living
conditions of their own people.
In the meantime, Iran, with
its substantial potentials, is
missing opportunities one after
another. Both human and natural
resources of the country are
attractive enough to absorb
considerable foreign investment
and trade opportunities. With
the implementation of the right
economic reforms that are
outward-looking and lead to
international integration, the
vast resources of the country
would be better utilized.
Presently foreign investment
in Iran is limited to the oil and
gas sector, and remains on a
small scale. Opportunities could
be transformed into vibrant
international investments in
diverse industries including
energy. The human resources
of the country in the form of
products and services could be
successfully marketed around
the world. The meager non-oil
and non-gas exports of a few
billion USD per year can be
considerably expanded. There is
even the potential for explosive
growth. To improve the economic
performance of the country, Iran
has no choice but to open to the
world economy and embrace
globalization.  |