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| M Jamsaz, Ph D,
Consultant Economist |
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Despite great efforts that
Iranian authorities have
made to improve the economic
conditions of the country, no
tangible achievement has been
made and all because of the
dominance of the government
and the public sector over
the economy. Contrary to the
claims made to the effect that
the control of the state over the
economy is to be eradicated
and therefore the size of the
government be reduced, this
control has been actually
expanding making it increasingly
difficult for the private and
cooperative sectors to survive,
let alone flourish.
Worldwide trends, however,
exemplified in the globalization
process, are otherwise.
Everywhere nations are supporting their private sectors,
which, through competition,
offer better and better products
and services at lower and lower
prices, every day.
This is such a strong trend that
those countries that prefer to
retain their public sectors, i.e.
centralized economies, are
forced to give them up, because
they cannot afford to ignore
external markets.
This makes Iran’s present
economic state rather
precarious. On the one hand,
external forces and economic
conditions demand the
country’s economy to become
decentralized and private. Yet,
on the other hand, the public
structure of the economy will not
render itself to decentralization
nor will managers of staterelated
companies who are all
ex-government managers, let
go of their desks, positions and
authorities. They will not allow
anyone to deprive them of their
vested interests, concessions,
supports and financial aids.
However, the expansion of this
huge centralized economy will
necessitate marketing abroad,
which demands free competition,
high quality and sensible prices.
We may force our nation to pay
false prices, too high for the
quality of the goods they buy, but
we cannot do so with the people
outside our frontiers.
The main obstacle to Iran’s entry
into the international market
is a centralized economy with
enormous expenditures. This
requires adjustment policies
seriously aimed and applied
towards reformation and a
gradual – hopefully not too
gradual – decentralization
process, so that we may in
the near future achieve an
acceptable form of economy that
can easily communicate with
other economies worldwide and,
in particular, can join the WTO.
Joining WTO requires certain
conditions to be fulfilled and
criteria to be met, in many
areas of the economy. First and
foremost is the decentralization
of the economy or as is usual
to say in the Middle East,
privatization. This means that
the state must not intervene
in the economy in any serious
way; it must not set rules and
regulations on imports that are
discriminatory in favor of the
public sector economic entities;
it must allow and encourage
the growth of the private sector;
must facilitate domestic and
foreign investment; reduce
economic and trade risks etc.
These actions will obviously
reduce inflation, lead to
economic growth, expand non-oil
exports, raise per capita income,
and most important of all they
shall lead to the welfare of the
people and a higher standard of
living.
Some work has apparently
been done towards the
same objectives: policies
have been adopted that
should have improved the
economy and brought about
reformations during the past
three development plans, but
so far – and we have only less
than two years left of the Third
Plan – no fundamental change
has occurred in the economic structure of the country as
regards liberalization of trade
and decentralization of the
economy. It appears that the
propaganda made on the subject
was the main purpose of the
policies, not the actual changes!
Besides, there has been no
logical connection between
the objectives and the tools
employed. For instance,
instead of bringing about real
liberalization and privatization,
the state is selling plants and
factories to the banks (which are
themselves state-owned) as a
tool for the government to pay its
debts and high expenditures.
Time is running out and no one
seems to care! In 2005, WTO
will impose restrictions that will
make it very difficult for nonmember
states to join it. This
will lead to certain conditions
that will make a state-run
economy face great difficulties.
But, privatization is not the only
serious issue. To join WTO, Iran
must control inflation; reduce
unemployment to acceptable
levels i.e. to the levels
acceptable to the developed
nations etc. And all this seems
almost impossible. The work
done so far to create jobs has
only resulted in a limited number
of temporary employment
opportunities which will
disappear like a mirage as soon
oil export revenues are upset by
some sort of recession in the oil
market. Then, God knows what
will happen!
Iran needs realistic and impartial
investigations into its economic
and political complexities for
which the most vital prerequisite
is that our authorities should
truly and sincerely want to shift
our presently highly centralized
economy into a liberalized
economy compatible with world
conditions.
It is not enough to talk
about decentralization and
privatization. Action must be
taken and rather urgently. There
is no need to sell each and every
state-run production or service
entity to the investors in the
private sector, to professional
businessmen though this would
be an ideal solution. It would
be sufficient to take away the
extra concessions and privileges
that state-run entities enjoy
and which are denied to private
organizations. Treat the staterun
entity equally as you treat
private firms. And let them
compete. 
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